|1980 FEIS on widening the bridges|
One of the biggest things is that like with all the other traffic modeling done circa 1980, they significantly overestimated traffic volumes.
|They overestimated by a little over 10% in year 2000|
(inset color chart with actuals from
"New FHWA VMT Forecasts Implications for Local Planning")
[I]t has been argued - and logically so - that growth must be accommodated somewhere in the area, it and is better placed in the hills of West and South Salem than in the flat agricultural land east and west....
This policy choice also accepts and reinforces the norm of car-dependent development on the edges of the city.
|Lindbeck Orchards on Orchard Heights|
in transition, developing since about 2012
Significantly, in the decades since 1980, we pretty much systematically ignored some of the key recommendations.
- A substantial increase in use of transit, carpooling, bicycling and walking, and perhaps the introduction of peak-hour shuttle systems between downtown Salem and West Salem.
- More attractors (employment, shopping, entertainment, schools) west of the river
Imagine what congestion today might look like if we had made a determined effort for transit, carpooling, bicycling, walking, a peak-hour shuttle; if we had made an equally determined effort to support, even partially subsidize, trip destinations in West Salem that did not require crossing the river; and if our land use and development patterns retained more of the street grid and allowed higher density so that transit functioned better.
Also interesting is part of the Section 4(f) analysis, which had an additional 6(f) component:
Since the park was partially developed with Land and Water Conservation Funds, any land taken must be replaced "at least equal fair market value and of reasonably equivalent usefulness and location."
|Staff Report to Council April 7th, 1980|
|Part of the 4(f) discussion in the FEIS|
And lastly, the FEIS references a 1974 "Third Bridge Study," which also evaluated a Pine Street alignment for a third bridge. At that time a Pine Street alignment was "rejected" and it would be very interesting to read that analysis and to compare it with our current one.
- Traffic volumes are systematically overestimated
- Encouraging or building out for mobility other than drive-alone trips has been tepid at best in the interval from 1980 to today
- West Salem remains underserved by employment and commercial "attractors"
- Wallace Park required land replacement
* Neither this 1980 study nor the 1974 one is posted to any of the SRC sites, nor have they been digitized and made available via google books. They are also cited in public comment submitted during the UGB Hearing process.
Here's a minor mystery. The 1974 study rejected a crossing on a Pine Street alignment.
But according to a map in the Findings Report from the 1975 Comprehensive Plan, a Pine Street alignment was retained!
So that switch would also be interesting to learn more about.
|Rejected in 1974, retained in 1975|