|"Build! Build! Build!" (October 1st, 1919)|
|New housing still hasn't caught up to 2005 levels|
(Housing was Undersupplied
during the Great Housing Bubble)
|Housing deficit of "207 acres...for multi-family housing"|
(Housing Needs Analysis)
|Statewide deficit of 10,000 homes per year since 2000|
(Housing Underproduction in Oregon)
And, anyway, what matters is not rezoning, or new developments approved. What matters is houses built. The Fairview project is large and has many approvals, but still in absolute numbers there are few homes there.
And even if it were all built out, it might be equivalent to only one year's deficit.
We have many years of deficit to catch up! A modest boom for two or three years might seem like a lot, but given the magnitude of the historical deficit, it's nowhere near enough.
|Housing slowing down (City Manager's Update)|
Housing policy is not a central thing here, and you may be able to refine or correct details here. But in Our Salem and in debates over development, there's too much "do you want an apartment complex next door to you?!?!?!" and not enough, "here's how many new homes, at a broad range of prices, we need to build annually if we want homes for everybody who wants one."
|The streetcar-era grid in 1917|
* The Housing Needs Analysis does say the 207 acres is equivalent to 2,897 homes - but in light of the national chart and the state-level claim in "Housing Underproduction," 2,897 just seems to small. So there are two observations here: We need to talk more about housing starts and the historical deficits in counts of homes, not in acres or other analogues. Then, with those counts, we might start to look more critically at our housing affordability problems and question whether 2,897 more homes in multi-family buildings gets us where we want to be.