|Front page today in the Oregonian|
Last week at the meeting of the LCDC (the oversight board for DLCD, like the OTC is to ODOT), staff briefed the board on the Statewide Transportation Strategy and Related Land Use Actions. The STS, you may recall, is about emissions. (Full meeting agenda and packet here. Recent previous notes on the STS here and here.)
Public comment on the Staff Report highlighted a serious omission: The Staff Report did not mention less driving and reducing VMT. Here's 1000 Friends on this.
|1000 Friends say we aren't talking about VMT reduction|
|1000 Friends say the MPOs and cities are failing|
|To note, but not actually to do anything about|
On Traffic Forecasting: Margin of Error, Descriptive, and Prescriptive Methods
Also on the agenda is the formal workplan for SKATS. One of the main parts is on forecasting and "refinement."
|As SKATS works to "refine" traffic forecasting|
they should include error and uncertainty.
Draft 2020 Work Plan (chart and comments added)
First, SKATS needs to push out to planners, consultants, and electeds real statements of uncertainty and margin of error in all forecasts.
Second, in line with the STS, SKATS should consider split forecasting, with two paths, one that is descriptive and embodies current practices, the other that is prescriptive and includes the VMT reductions from the STS.
We need to start planning for the future we want to have, not for the future we hope we will get if we remain oblivious. Our current modes of forecasting erase calls for VMT reduction and this is untenable. We need to highlight the gap between the future we are creating and the future we need to create.
On Bad Data Sources
|"Free flow travel speeds...exceed the posted speed limit"|
From a 2015 INRIX report and comment from City Observatory
More than this, the basic frame of "congestion" and its solution of "free flow" cannot coexist with a basic frame devoted to VMT reduction and GHG reduction. Each frame optimizes with different conditions and they are incompatible. The MPO should face this.
|With safety our data collection seems robust, but we don't act on it|
|Memorial to Ronald Drolshagen in mid-January |
State and Front at the Carousel
Killed in the crosswalk on December 4th
|Look for the historic sign|
next to the entry
SKATS Policy Committee Committee meets Tuesday the 28th, at noon. SKATS is at 100 High St. SE, Suite 200, above Table Five 08 and Epilogue Kitchen.